Chelsea host Nottingham Forest at Stamford Bridge in the EFL Cup third round, and the stats suggest that the visitors will need a miracle to progress in the competition.
Forest are not the force they were in the 70s and 80s, winning back-to-back European Cups and becoming champions of England. Nowadays they find themselves locked in mid-table mediocrity in the Championship. They will know full well the task that lies ahead of them in SW6.
Antonio Conte has some of the best players in the world at his disposal, and even if he rotates his side as expected, it’ll still be more than strong enough to reach the fourth round without breaking a sweat.
Chelsea will also be encouraged by both side’s recent form. Stats provided by Kickoff.co.uk ought to kill off any little hope the Forest faithful have of getting a result at the Bridge.
As shown on the below infographic, Chelsea have won 17 of their last 20 home games in all competitions. The 0-0 draw at the weekend against Arsenal and that shock defeat to Burnley on the opening day may offer Forest some encouragement, but the 5-1 and 6-0 victories over minnows Sunderland and Qarabag are exactly what they should be wary of.
Forest, on the other hand, have won just four of their last 20 games on the road. None of those games have been at as difficult places to visit as Stamford Bridge either. You would like to think that the Blues have this one in the bag.